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经济专家预测,加拿大为了刺激经济,可能加入0利率行列! [复制链接]

发表于 2015-4-9 08:11:11 |显示全部楼层
经济专家预测,加拿大为了刺激经济,可能加入0利率行列!

前加拿大央行顾问、现任富达投资(Fidelity Investments)投资经理人沃夫(David Wolf)认为目前油价疲软、消费者债台高筑,加上汇率居高不下,种种因素都弱化外商投资加拿大的动力。沃夫表示,尽管加拿大央行在1月意外宣布降息,但市场仍然太过低估油价暴跌对经济产生的负面影响,因为加国经济持续低迷,可能使央行再将利率下调至0%。他说:“世界上的发达国家多半采取0利率政策,加拿大没有理由自外其中。”

沃夫认为,近几年以消费及房市投资带动经济,取代过去出口导向的成长模式,导致加国经济逐渐失衡。要回到平衡就必须靠加元走贬,才能振兴出口贸易。他说:“这项工作落在央行身上,他们必须确保经济不会脱轨。”

加拿大最接近0利率的一次是在2009年的金融危机,当时的央行行长卡尼(Mark Carney)将利率下调至0.25%。现在国家迟迟走不出低油价的阴霾,许多经济学家认为央行会主动出击。
央行宣布最新利率政策前夕,行长普洛索暗示可能采取非常规措施。

专家认为央行为帮助加拿大走出经济低潮,可能采取0利率政策。(CBC)

央行行长普洛索(Stephen Poloz) 上周受访时暗示,可能会采取“非常规”措施,外界认为此番言论意味加拿大可能跟随美国联准会、欧洲央行及日本央行的脚步,加入量化宽松的行列。加拿大央行将于4月15日宣布最新利率政策

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